Dynasty fantasy football
Values built on outcomes, not opinions.
No crowd votes and no copied consensus. RingChase projects every player's points, playing time and career risk in your exact league format. You get the next 3 seasons as a window value and 6 seasons for full dynasty value.
Projected, not polled
Every value starts from a forecast: points per game, games played and the chance a player still has a real role each season, fitted on more than a decade of NFL history.
Two horizons
Dynasty is played in 3-year windows. Every player gets a window value and a 6-season value, plus a shape that tells you whether he's a win-now piece or a future asset.
Your league, exactly
1QB or superflex, PPR, TE premium, team count and passing-TD points all change replacement level and every value. Contend or rebuild reweights the seasons.
Honest scorecard
We grade ourselves against the market
We froze the model as of September 2021, 2022 and 2023 using only data known then. Then we checked how well it ranked what players actually went on to score above replacement. Same test for the DynastyProcess consensus. The market is our benchmark, never an input.
One season out we're level with the market. Three seasons out it's still ahead, mostly on offseason news the model doesn't see yet. Closing that gap is the next release.
Read the method and the roadmap →| Rank correlation with what happened | RingChase | Market |
|---|---|---|
| Next season | .331 | .339 |
| Next 2 seasons | .385 | .409 |
| Next 3 seasons | .395 | .438 |
| Top-24 hit rate, 3 seasons | 54% | 51% |
Backtest of model v3.2, 12-team 1QB PPR, as-of dates 2021–2023. Higher is better.
Next up: ring odds
Every dynasty move is a chase for a ring. The next version simulates your whole league, week by week, and a player's value becomes how much he raises a roster's chances of winning the title. That's why a star beats two good players, and why the same player is worth more to a contender than to a rebuild.